Waves of Uncertainty: Finding Calm in Financial Turbulence

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The financial markets have been experiencing significant turbulence following the announcement of Trump’s tariff policies. As an investment advisor and president of Envision Financial Planning, I’ve witnessed the ripple effects these announcements have had on client portfolios and market sentiment. The tariffs, initially expected to target countries that charge tariffs to the US, were instead focused on trade imbalances – affecting even close allies like Japan, Canada, and Mexico. This approach has created a perfect storm in the markets.

The immediate reaction has been severe, with markets pulling back substantially in a very short period of time. We’ve essentially erased all the gains in the stock market since April 2023 – a full 12 months of growth vanished within days. This kind of rapid decline naturally triggers anxiety and fear among investors. It’s human nature to see downward trends and assume they will continue indefinitely. However, experienced investors understand that markets often overreact to news in the short term, creating temporary distortions in asset prices that eventually correct themselves.

What makes these tariffs particularly concerning is their potential impact on everyday consumers. Many products marketed as “American-made” contain components sourced globally through complex supply chains. The Wall Street Journal highlighted how these tariffs could increase the cost of iPhone components from approximately $580 to nearly $900. Companies like Apple, which operate on substantial profit margins, will likely pass these increased costs to consumers, affecting purchasing power across the economy. This illustrates why markets are reacting so strongly – these policies could fundamentally alter business models and consumer behavior.

Despite the current climate of uncertainty, historical perspective offers valuable reassurance. Following significant market shocks – whether the 1987 crash, the 2008-2009 financial crisis, the 2020 COVID plunge, or the difficult 2022 market – investors who maintained their positions typically saw recovery within a year. These pullbacks, though painful in the moment, have consistently proven to be opportune times for long-term investors. For those still in the accumulation phase, continuing regular contributions allows you to purchase assets at discounted prices – a strategy that has rewarded patient investors throughout market history.

For those nearing retirement or concerned about near-term needs, it’s important to remember that proper planning accounts for market volatility. If you need funds within the next 6-12 months, consulting with your advisor about strategic withdrawals makes sense. Many well-managed portfolios have already set aside cash reserves for anticipated distributions, such as required minimum distributions (RMDs), protecting those funds from current market fluctuations. Additionally, with interest rates moving downward, fixed income portions of portfolios have actually increased in value, providing a potential source of funds without needing to sell depreciated equities.

The most important action during market turbulence isn’t checking your portfolio hourly or making reactive changes – it’s maintaining perspective and emotional discipline. As I often remind clients, worry has never improved investment outcomes. The market, like ocean tides, naturally ebbs and flows. Current downturns create opportunities for tax-loss harvesting and strategic rebalancing that can improve long-term outcomes. By delegating worry to your financial advisors and focusing on what truly matters – spending time with loved ones, pursuing personal interests, and maintaining your wellbeing – you position yourself to weather this storm and emerge financially intact when markets inevitably stabilize and recover.

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Our approach is to discover a client’s goals, determine the personal financial plan that is needed, and aid the client in reaching those goals. Our success is measured by how well our clients achieve their goals.
Hank has had a distinguished career in the financial services industry, including more than 40 years in the financial planning and securities fields. From 1985 to 2013, Hank provided fee-only financial planning services through his firm, Lifetime Planning, Inc. Hank merged his practice with Stacey’s in 2014. In addition, Hank is a member of both the local and the national chapters of the Financial Planning Association (FPA).
Hank received his bachelor’s degree in business administration from the University of Mississippi, where he also lettered in football. He received his initial securities training at Merrill Lynch. He was a financial planning consultant for the Memphis office of Ernst & Young and financial planner at Morgan Keegan & Company, Inc. from 1982 through 1984. In April 1984, Hank completed his CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional requirements with the College for Financial Planning in Denver, Colorado.
In addition to his financial planning practice, Hank has enjoyed serving on the boards of Presbyterian Day School, Second Presbyterian Church, University of Mississippi, and the Christian Community Foundation. Hank served as the chief financial officer of the Christian Community Foundation from its inception in October 1998 until October 2000. Hank enjoys reading, hunting, and attending baseball and college football games.
Clay serves Envision Financial Planning’s clients as the investment officer and portfolio manager. His duties include overseeing the firm’s investment process and money management strategies with a strong focus on “goals-based” investment planning.
As a firm, we believe in concentrating on things we can control such as:
Clay is a native Memphian and a graduate of the University of Mississippi. He began his career working for a regional broker/dealer specializing in fixed-income securities, and prior to joining Envision, Clay was an investment research analyst and portfolio manager for a private wealth management firm in Memphis. Clay currently holds his FINRA Series 66 securities registration and obtained his CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ designation in 2021.
In his free time, Clay enjoys playing golf, exercising, reading, and cooking with friends and family. He and his wife, Margot, have two boys named Callan and Wiley.